Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.176612 2.485040 2.822196 3.218221 3.670837 4.172211 4.770060
2025-08-17 1.656150 2.062704 2.547369 3.168261 3.943511 4.880882 6.102496
2025-08-24 1.415583 1.871401 2.448080 3.232293 4.273039 5.609910 7.462835
2025-08-31 1.242043 1.724011 2.364164 3.278372 4.553947 6.276056 8.787254
2025-09-07 1.089800 1.577720 2.253588 3.260576 4.727933 6.796367 9.948724
2025-09-14 0.957460 1.439107 2.131749 3.203530 4.827097 7.205901 10.977663
2025-09-21 0.857031 1.333000 2.041282 3.175841 4.956629 7.659796 12.104384
2025-09-28 0.768224 1.233193 1.947283 3.128307 5.043927 8.048639 13.158243
2025-10-05 0.750273 1.241182 2.018147 3.343008 5.560487 9.149474 15.452825
2025-10-12 0.696002 1.184017 1.978288 3.371654 5.772927 9.774524 17.017192
2025-10-19 0.665262 1.162314 1.993172 3.490830 6.145012 10.693491 19.166948
2025-10-26 0.612728 1.097682 1.928897 3.465943 6.262555 11.183010 20.602226
2025-11-02 0.557643 1.027106 1.854440 3.428264 6.376686 11.718288 22.257916
2025-11-09 0.504886 0.956003 1.773328 3.372689 6.457663 12.212535 23.916799
2025-11-16 0.475374 0.924485 1.760246 3.441031 6.775965 13.175974 26.580541
2025-11-23 0.446455 0.890731 1.738956 3.490130 7.060204 14.100480 29.268630
2025-11-30 0.412594 0.843492 1.686540 3.471166 7.204934 14.762191 31.490699
2025-12-07 0.377808 0.790635 1.617479 3.410375 7.255927 15.236548 33.367974
2025-12-14 0.349792 0.748788 1.566312 3.380868 7.368142 15.846644 35.603615
2025-12-21 0.322553 0.705738 1.508285 3.330216 7.428353 16.350020 37.655990
2025-12-28 0.322346 0.721126 1.575176 3.559012 8.128763 18.318419 43.268938
2026-01-04 0.305215 0.697220 1.554563 3.589539 8.383379 19.317020 46.729031
2026-01-11 0.296890 0.692346 1.575363 3.716547 8.873759 20.902369 51.773903